03.04.07

Is Iran Regime Change Enough to Discourage War Efforts?

Posted in General at 11:53 am by MamaSaid

According to recent news, Iran President Mahmud Ahmadinejad is suffering from prostate cancer and may only have a couple of months left to live. Because this topic is taboo in Iranian state media, there are conflicting reports about bad the President’s condition is but he is definitely battling cancer.

A great concern is that if this leader dies, a council could be appointed to replace him, which would create numerous constitutional issues for Iran. The possible council may consist of reformist and former president Mohammad Khatami, speaker and moderate Mehdi Karroubi and former president and Machiavellian pragmatist Hashemi Rafsanjani. Rafsanjani is the next in the line of succession and a top member of the Council of Experts, who choses the council. An Iranian political analyst stated, “It would require an amendment to the constitution. The talk of a council replacing the leader is not new but it is chock full of legal and religious issues.” Clericals in establishment do not view Rafsanjani as virtuous.

Further, Ahmadinejad has lost support from the ruling elites because of the US sanctions on operations involving Iranian banks and companies. Washington is pressing the United National Security Council and European Union to adopt this to punish Iran for its nuclear program. However, recently a Western consultant with insider’s knowledge of Iran’s nuclear dossier since the Khatami presidency, stated, “Iran’s nuclear capability is to all intents and purposes non-existent due - as I am painfully aware - to a management deficiency of cosmic proportions.” The Russians also know this fact as the builders of the Bushehr nuclear plant. This seems to minimize Israeli assertions that Iran’s bomb is just around the corner. Will that sink in for US government officials such as Bush and Cheney? It is doubtful since they appear to be driven by power and money as opposed to the actual circumstances at hand.

In fact, Ahmadinejad and his Republican Guard allies seem to be anticipating a US preemptive strike so that Iran be united under his presidency. An Iranian political analyst said, “Neither the president nor the Republican Guards want an American attack. What Ahmadinejad wants is to come out of this as the man who stood up to the Americans and made them back down.”

Obviously Iran does not intend to suspend uranium enrichment due to pressure from US troops, aircraft-carrier battle groups, military bases and special forces. Former chief UN weapons inspector Hans Blix stated at a recent conference on international security in New York, “”To sit down with them in a direct talk rather than saying to them, ‘You do this, thereafter we will sit down at a table and tell you what you get for it.’ That’s getting away from a humiliating neo-colonial attitude to a more normal [one].”

Is that possible from a Bohemian Grove group of white men who are obsessed with their own power and wealth to the extent that they have virtually killed democracy in their own country? Can we actually hope they will find the skills to communicate effectively, which includes really listening to the other side? Since they view Iran, correctly or incorrectly, as an enemy, that does not seem feasible. After all, Bush and Cheney are unable to listen to their own allies and citizens in the United States, operating as dictators within an alleged democracy. Add to this mix Deputy National Security Adviser Elliott Abrams, the former ambassador to Kabul and Baghdad Zalmay Khalilzad and Prince Bandar bin Sultan, Saudi national security adviser and ambassador to the US for over twenty years. Clearly their main objective is the destabilization and fragmentation of Iran for their own gain.

So, even if the regime changes in Iran because of natural causes and not bombs, will it be enough to cure these war thirsty men from attack?